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The Sheinbaum Administration's Cautious Engagement with China in Mexico

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Introduction

Claudia Sheinbaum’s government in Mexico has sought to navigate a delicate balance between cooperation with the United States, Mexico’s biggest export market, source of remittances and security partner, and the People’s Republic of China (PRC), an important potential source of investment and trade with Mexico, particularly as the trade and political relationship with the U.S. has become increasingly unpredictable and occasionally tense.

In the context of preliminary negotiations with the Trump Administration over the future of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Free Trade Agreement (USMCA), in December 2025, Mexico imposed significant new tariffs on a range of products from countries with which Mexico does not have a current Free Trade Agreement. These included a tariff of up to 50% on autos from the PRC. As an offset, however, Sheinbaum’s government also held high-level talks with her Chinese counterparts to explain Mexico’s action, and announced that she will be attending the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) leaders’ summit in Beijing in November 2026, setting the stage for a bilateral summit between Sheinbaum and Xi from which deepened economic, political, and other cooperation could flow.

R. Evan Ellis

R. Evan Ellis

Dr. Evan Ellis is Senior Non-Resident Associate with the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and Senior Non-Resident Fellow with Florida International University, with a focus on the region’s relationships with China and other non-Western Hemisphere actors as well as transnational organized crime and populism in the region. Dr. Ellis previously served as on the Secretary of State’s Policy Planning staff (S/P) with responsibility for Latin America and the Caribbean as well as international narcotics and law enforcement issues. In his academic capacity, Dr. Ellis presented his work in a broad range of business and government forums in 27 countries on four continents. He has given testimony on Latin American security issues to the U.S. Congress on various occasions, has discussed his work regarding China and other external actors in Latin America on a broad range of radio and television programs, and is cited regularly in the print media in both the United States and Latin America for his work in this area. Dr. Ellis has also been awarded the Order of Military Merit José María Córdova by the Colombian government for his scholarship on security issues in the region.

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